In recent months, the State Council has issued the "Interim Provisions on Promoting Industrial Structure Adjustment," marking a clear direction and strategic approach for industrial reform. These provisions outline eight key areas for focus: first, reinforcing the foundational role of agriculture while accelerating its transition to modern agricultural practices; second, strengthening infrastructure in energy, transportation, water conservancy, and information sectors to better support economic and social development; third, promoting advanced manufacturing and emphasizing the growth of the manufacturing industry as a critical driver of economic progress; fourth, accelerating the development of high-tech industries to further stimulate economic growth; fifth, increasing the share of the service sector, optimizing its structure, and fostering rapid, comprehensive development in this area.
Sixth, the policy encourages the development of a circular economy, aiming to build a society that is resource-efficient and environmentally friendly, ensuring harmony between economic growth and environmental sustainability. Seventh, it calls for optimizing industrial organization and adjusting regional industrial layouts. Lastly, it emphasizes an open and mutually beneficial strategy to enhance China's global integration and drive domestic industrial upgrading.
Alongside these provisions, the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment" categorizes industries into three groups: encouraged, restricted, and eliminated. The catalog covers over 20 industries, totaling more than 1,128 items, with 539 under encouragement, 190 restricted, and 399 eliminated. Industry experts believe this framework offers strong guidance for sectors such as agriculture, water conservancy, coal, electricity, and transportation, with positive implications for the capital market.
According to Jia Zuoguo from China Merchants Securities, there is a growing need to pay attention to nine key industries, including renewable energy equipment, port container cranes, shipbuilding, railway transport, 3G communications, digital TV, tourism, environmental protection, and water supply. Analysts like Zhang Fa Yu from Changjiang Securities note that sectors such as biotechnology, machinery, chemicals, new materials, aerospace, defense, and IT will benefit significantly from national support.
Zhang Dawei from Joint Securities highlights that service industries aligned with energy efficiency—such as finance, logistics, and public services—are not only compliant with national goals but also have strong potential for job creation and long-term growth. On the other hand, industries facing overcapacity or regulatory constraints, such as steel, cement, non-ferrous metals, automobiles, and power, may see reduced expansion opportunities, but could witness increased M&A activity and restructuring efforts.
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