The "Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2012-2020)" (hereinafter referred to as the "Planning") has appeared recently. The biggest highlight of this "Planning" is under the background of the automobile purchase restriction policies that have been introduced in various places. New Energy Vehicles Not listed in the purchase.
"Planning" clearly stated that in order to create a favorable environment conducive to industrial development, the relevant local implementation of limit number driving, license quota auctions, car quota indicators and other measures, the new energy vehicles should be treated differently.
Industry sources pointed out that in the future, the purchase of traditional energy vehicles may become the norm, and the market share of energy-saving and new energy vehicles that receive the “Green Pass†is expected to expand rapidly. More or less cities will introduce a purchase restriction policy next year. For months, the traditional energy automobile market is likely to trigger a wave of buying.
Completing the 2015 Target Challenge Compared to the 2009 edition of the New Energy Industry Revitalization Plan, the “Planning†released this time adjusted the new energy vehicle phase goals accordingly.
On January 14, 2009, the State Council passed the automotive industry revitalization plan in principle, and proposed the new energy vehicle strategy for the first time. It is required that the capacity of 500,000 hybrid electric vehicles, rechargeable hybrid vehicles, and ordinary hybrid vehicles be established by 2011. The sales of energy vehicles accounted for about 5% of the total passenger car sales, resulting in a 1 billion Ah power battery capacity.
However, in recent years, the progress of domestic industrialization of new energy vehicles has been unsatisfactory, with unsatisfactory results.
According to the incomplete statistics of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (hereinafter referred to as "China Automobile Association"), in 2011, the country sold only 8,159 new energy vehicles, including 5,579 pure electric vehicles and 2,580 hybrid vehicles. Since the first quarter of this year, China has sold a total of only 10,202 energy-saving and new energy vehicles, including 1830 pure electric vehicles, 1,499 hybrid vehicles, and 6,873 alternative fuel vehicles.
According to the analysis of CITIC Securities, according to the cumulative sales of 500,000 vehicles by 2015, the annual sales volume of pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid vehicles will exceed 120,000, and the initial annual sales volume will also need to reach at least 30,000 to 50,000 vehicles.
Senior automotive industry commentator Zhang Zhiyong also believes that the challenge of completing the "planning" target is still relatively large, but in the future, vehicle companies are expected to expand rapidly in the market share of plug-in hybrid power under the pressure and driving force of the policy.
Acceleration of the promotion of new energy vehicles In fact, in the context of the continued decline in the growth rate of the industry and the further spread of urban restrictions on purchase policies, this year, the pace of promotion of relevant policies on new energy vehicles has been significantly accelerated.
On March 5th, the Ministry of Science and Technology promulgated the “12th Five-Year Plan†for the development of electric vehicle science and technology; on April 18, the State Council Executive Meeting discussed and adopted the “Energy-saving and New Energy Automobile Industry Development Plan (2012-2020)â€; 5 On the 16th of the month, the State Council Executive Meeting examined policies and measures for promoting the consumption of energy-saving products. On June 18, Premier Wen Jiabao of the State Council hosted the State Council Executive Meeting to discuss the adoption of the "Planning." Only 20 days later, the full text of "Planning" was officially released.
In this regard, Zhang Zhiyong pointed out that the differential treatment of new energy vehicles shows that the central government has acquiesced to the local government's restrictions on purchase restrictions, and this kind of acquiescence will probably allow more cities to join the “big wave†of limited-line purchases. The energy car market may set off a wave of buying.
He analyzed that when the consumer's strong buying enthusiasm hits restrictions on purchases, and new energy vehicles do not impose restrictions, the increase in the Chinese automobile market in the future is likely to be mostly to new energy vehicles. The current plug-in hybrid market with relatively mature technology base will be rapidly expanded.
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