Steady growth trend has basically established a 13.5% annual increase in industry

“In the first three quarters of this year, China’s industrial economy further consolidated its upward trend and showed a good pattern of rapid production growth, improved profitability, gradual optimization of the structure, and accelerated recovery of exports. The transformation of industrial economy from a rebound to a stable growth has improved. The situation is basically established and it is expected that the industrial added value of above-scale industries will increase by 13.5% year-on-year."

Recently, Zhu Hongren, a party member, chief engineer, and press publisher of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, attended the Press Conference of the State Council Information Office. He made the above statement when he introduced the operating status of the industry and telecommunications industry in the first three quarters and explained the hot and difficult issues in the current industry.

He pointed out that overall, the industrial economy in the first three quarters was in a good state of operation and continued to develop in the expected direction of macro-control. However, at present, some deep-seated contradictions in the long-term economic life have still not been fundamentally resolved. New situations and new problems are still emerging. The costs of energy, raw materials, enterprises, land use, financing, and energy conservation and emission reduction are all on the rise. This issue needs to be highly valued and seriously addressed.

Industrial production maintains steady and rapid growth Zhu Hongren pointed out that in the first three quarters of this year, industrial production maintained steady and rapid growth, and the business conditions of the enterprises continued to improve. According to statistics, the industrial added value of industries above designated size increased by 16.3% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased 7.6 percentage points year-on-year. In terms of sub-sectors, raw materials, equipment, consumer goods, and electronics industries grew by 13.8%, 21.6%, 15.1%, and 18%, respectively, and their growth rates increased by 4.5, 10.4, 5.4, and 16.2 percentage points year-on-year respectively. From the perspective of efficiency, in the first eight months, profits and taxes paid by industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 55% and 27.6% respectively year-on-year.

In the first three quarters of the year, the industry had completed a total investment of 6.8 trillion yuan, of which the manufacturing industry had completed investment of 5.2 trillion yuan, an increase of 21.9% and 25.4% year-on-year, respectively, and the growth rate had fallen 4.7 and 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, respectively; six high-energy-consuming industries The growth rate of investment fell from 22.6% in the same period of last year to 14.3%. The special funds for technical reforms arranged by the central government were all issued. A total of 4,525 projects were arranged, with a total investment of 386.2 billion yuan and a total of 17.28 billion yuan in funds. With the continuous implementation of policies and measures to promote the development of SMEs, SME development is in good condition. According to reports, the current financial institutions’ support for SMEs’ ​​credit is increasing. With the support of various policies, the operating conditions of SMEs continued to improve. In the first three quarters, the added value of small and medium-sized enterprises above designated size in the country increased by 17.8% year-on-year, 1.5 percentage points faster than the average level of all industries above designated size; the profits and total taxes paid in the first eight months increased by 53.9% and 25.6% respectively. The number of employed people increased by 7.9% year-on-year.

In the first three quarters, the communications industry developed steadily and information technology was widely used. According to statistics, revenue from telecommunications services increased by 6.8% year-on-year, and mobile data and Internet services have become new growth points. In the first nine months, software business revenue increased by 30.3% year-on-year. In addition, the integration of the three networks progressed steadily, and the pilot work made positive progress. At present, more than 20 provinces have launched commercial applications for Internet Protocol Television (IPTV) and cable TV Internet access. IPTV users have exceeded 5 million, and cable TV Internet access users have reached 5 million. Mobile TV users have used Break through 6 million.

Maintaining a relatively stable macroeconomic environment Zhu Hongren pointed out that since the beginning of this year, under the decisions and plans of the Party Central Committee and the State Council to continue to deal with the implementation of the international financial crisis, the overall operation of the industrial economy has continued to improve, but some instability has occurred in economic operations. Uncoordinated and unsustainable factors still need high attention.

According to statistics, since the second quarter, corporate profitability has continued to weaken. The profit growth rate of industrial enterprises above designated size dropped month by month, and the sales profit rate fell from 6.27% in March to May to 5.97% in June to August.

Zhu Hongren pointed out that the current appreciation of the renminbi is accelerating. Since September, the cumulative appreciation of the renminbi against the US dollar has been nearly two percentage points. In the case of large fluctuations in exchange rates, enterprises, entrepreneurs, and employees are worried. Enterprises do not dare to accept large orders and long orders, and production and operations are greatly affected. In this regard, relevant parties should use a comprehensive perspective to look at this issue.

He pointed out that the major tasks of macroeconomic regulation and control set this year are threefold: First, maintaining a steady and rapid economic growth. Second, actively promote structural adjustment. Third, manage inflation expectations. These three tasks are three-in-one. Although the specific goals set in the implementation process are slightly different, the overall goal is to maintain a steady and rapid growth of the national economy. Some of these are proactive measures, such as the central bank raising interest rates, which is a measure to cope with managing inflation expectations; others are passive measures such as the appreciation of the renminbi.

For the industrial economy, under the current situation, the trend of turning from picking up to turning to stable growth has been gradually established, and this trend will continue into next year. However, external factors will also have a certain impact on the steady and rapid growth of the industry. It is possible that there will be some fluctuations in the economic growth rate next year. However, from the current situation, these fluctuations will not change the overall trend toward good. Under such circumstances, the macro-environment remains as relatively stable as possible, which is conducive to accelerating the transformation of economic development patterns while maintaining stable and rapid economic growth.

The automotive market still has some room for development It is understood that in the first three quarters of this year, the production and sales volume of automobiles reached 13.08 million vehicles and 13.14 million vehicles, respectively, an increase of 36.1% and 36% year-on-year, respectively, and the auto industry continued to maintain a good momentum of development. However, with regard to the current booming production and sales situation in the auto market, some analysts have pointed out that there has been an oversupply in auto production capacity.

In this regard, Zhu Hongren pointed out that the current rapid growth of the automobile is mainly due to the direct boost of the country’s policy of encouraging automobile consumption in recent years. Of the 4.28 million vehicles sold in 2009, year-on-year sales growth, passenger car sales of 1.6 liters or less increased by nearly 3 million vehicles, which accounted for about 70% of total growth. In addition, under the automobile-to-country policy promotion last year, the number of cars in the countryside reached 1.67 million. It is estimated that the annual automobile production and sales may reach about 17 million vehicles, which is an increase of about 25% year-on-year.

Zhu Hongren pointed out that from the perspective of demand and per capita ownership, there is still room for development in China's automobiles. According to reports, there are currently 48 vehicles for thousands of people in China, while the average number of people in the world is 140, and 600 in developed countries. While China's autos have more room for development, we must also point out that in the process of auto development, we must also pay attention to the supporting factors of resources, energy, and the environment. China's current crude oil dependence on foreign countries has exceeded 50%. If we really want to reach the world's car ownership in developed countries, our country's energy consumption will greatly increase. The pollution caused by cars and car congestion in some big cities have become a very serious challenge.

To this end, Zhu Hongren further pointed out that in this situation, we should actively and vigorously develop energy-saving cars and new energy vehicles. This is China's response to energy and environmental challenges, fostering strategic emerging industries, building innovative countries, and achieving sustainable development. Major strategic initiatives. According to reports, in order to clarify the direction of development of China's energy-saving and new energy vehicles as quickly as possible, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is currently working with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Science and Technology, and related experts and enterprises to conduct research and demonstration on the technical routes of China's energy-saving and new energy vehicles. A consensus has been formed.

Zhu Hongren pointed out that the basic idea is to use pure electric vehicles as the main strategic orientation for the transformation of China's automobile industry, focusing on breakthroughs in power batteries, motors, and electronic control technologies, and promoting the industrialization of pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid vehicles to realize the automotive industry in China. Leapfrog development. At the same time, accelerate the research and application of automotive energy-saving technologies, vigorously promote the popularization of energy-saving vehicles, and comprehensively improve the overall level of China's vehicle fuel economy.